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Daily FX Focus

4 March 2025

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2428 / 7.3419 ➡

vs HKD 1.0603 / 1.0723

CNH ended lower against the US dollar yesterday on concerns of extra tariffs proposed by Trump. Meanwhile, data showed China's Feb manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in three months. USDCNH rose 0.13% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.06 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0358 / 1.0571 ⬆

vs HKD 8.0658 / 8.2136

EUR rose against the USD yesterday as focus moves to Ukraine peace deal and potential increases in defense spending across the euro area. European leaders sought to revive hope for peace in Ukraine by working with the US. EURUSD rose 1.08% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.15 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2475 / 1.2823 ⬆

vs HKD 9.7125 / 9.9659

GBP rose against US dollar yesterday on heightened optimism of a potential Ukraine peace deal. UK PM Starmer offered unwavering support for Ukraine while he seeks to be the bridge between US and Europe. GBPUSD rose 0.99% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.87 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6141 / 0.6358 ⬇

vs HKD 4.7755 / 4.9442

AUD ended higher against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased. The RBA cut its base rate by 25 bps in Feb and investors await RBA minutes due today for hints of further easing measures. AUDUSD rose 0.26% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 4.83 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5541 / 0.5730 ⬇

vs HKD 4.3094 / 4.4564

NZD ended higher against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased. Focus will be on imposition of Trump's tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports and additional levies on China that take effect today. NZDUSD rose 0.34% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.36 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.4238 / 1.4630 ⬇

vs HKD 5.3109 / 5.4636

CAD fell against the US dollar yesterday, hitting a one-month low as Trump's tariffs on Canadian imports takes effect today. Meanwhile, a 2% fall in oil prices also weighed on the CAD. USDCAD rose 0.15% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.36 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 147.11 / 153.34 ⬆

vs HKD 5.0773 / 5.2788

JPY strengthened against the US dollar yesterday as the USD and US treasury yields fell. Growing expectations that the BOJ will keep hiking interest rates despite weaker-than-expected inflation data. USDJPY fell 0.75% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.19 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8866 / 0.9111 ⬆

vs HKD 8.5424 / 8.7600

CHF rose against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased. Chairman Schlegel said the SNB would consider reintroducing negative interest rates, to prevent the Swiss franc becoming too strong and prevent inflation falling too low. USDCHF fell 0.70% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.67 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3318 / 1.3594 ➡

vs HKD 5.7241 / 5.8276

SGD ended higher against the US dollar yesterday as the USD retreated and US treasury yields fell. Meanwhile, a gauge of Singapore's manufacturing activity showed expansion. USDSGD fell 0.33% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.77 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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