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Daily FX Focus

4 October 2024

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 6.9759 / 7.1201 ⬆

vs HKD 1.0924 / 1.1127

CNH ended lower against the dollar yesterday after USD and US Treasury yields rose on solid US services PMI data. Meanwhile, China's stimulus drew investors back to offshore bonds of troubled property sector. USDCNH rose 0.21% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.10 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0954 / 1.1161 ⬇

vs HKD 8.4977 / 8.6800

EUR weakened against the dollar yesterday, falling to its lowest since Sep 12 as the USD strengthened broadly. Data showed an upward revision to Services PMI for September, but the Composite PMI remained below 50. EURUSD fell 0.13% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.56 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2997 / 1.3342 ➡

vs HKD 10.0860 / 10.3729

GBP fell against the dollar yesterday after Bailey hints on more aggressive approach to lowering interest rates as inflation stayed subdued. Meanwhile, the US NFP data will be in the spotlight today. GBPUSD fell 1.09% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.19 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6705 / 0.6958 ⬆

vs HKD 5.2192 / 5.3985

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dampen the risk appetite. Besides, AU's Judo Bank Services PMI decelerated in Sep which could refrain the RBA from adopting a hawkish stance. AUDUSD fell 0.65% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.31 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6115 / 0.6344 ➡

vs HKD 4.7595 / 4.9216

NZD fell against the dollar yesterday as reduced bets for a 50 bps Fed rate cut in Nov and geopolitical risks boosted the USD. Besides, expectations that the RBNZ will start cutting interest rates next week widened the downside for NZD. NZDUSD fell 0.80% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.82 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3431 / 1.3660 ➡

vs HKD 5.6915 / 5.7820

CAD fell against dollar yesterday, weakening to a 10-day low after data showed Canada's services economy deteriorated in Sep. CAD losses were limited by a rise in oil prices which rose on concerns about supply disruptions. USDCAD rose 0.39% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.72 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 141.91 / 149.59 ⬇

vs HKD 5.1764 / 5.4869

JPY fell against the dollar yesterday, slipping to a six-week low as the USD strengthened across the board and US treasury yields rose after strong services sector data supported forecasts for a smaller interest rate cut. USDJPY rose 0.31% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.28 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8431 / 0.8584 ➡

vs HKD 9.0328 / 9.2278

CHF fell against the dollar yesterday as the USD strengthened against major peers and remained as the safe-haven currency. Swiss inflation data came in below consensus at 0.8% YoY in September. USDCHF rose 0.38% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.10 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2831 / 1.3057 ➡

vs HKD 5.9480 / 6.0461

SGD ended weaker against the US dollar yesterday as the broad USD strengthened and US treasury yields rose as US services sector activity jumped to a 1-year high. USDSGD rose 0.43% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.98 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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