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Daily FX Focus

5 September 2024

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.0601 / 7.1738 ⬆

vs HKD 1.0866 / 1.1040

CNH rose against the dollar yesterday after two consecutive session decline, following the release of PMI data from China and also after a disappointing report on US job openings and a mixed outlook from the Federal Reserve's. USDCNH fell 0.12% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.09 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0967 / 1.1199 ⬆

vs HKD 8.5507 / 8.7312

EUR rose against the dollar yesterday after downbeat US JOLTS Job openings data for July, even though ECB Board member warned that the central bank shouldn’t keep interest rates too high for too long. EURUSD rose 0.35% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.64 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2905 / 1.3322 ⬆

vs HKD 10.0586 / 10.3923

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday after Britain's services sector grew last month at the fastest pace since April, adding to signs of a slowing economy. Investors eyes on Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls report looms large. GBPUSD rose 0.24% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.24 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6612 / 0.6829 ⬆

vs HKD 5.1548 / 5.3255

AUD rose mildly against the dollar yesterday followed by the release of Australian Q2 GDP data. Moreover, U.S. decline in job openings suggests a cooling labor market, potentially adding pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates. AUDUSD rose 0.22% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.24 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6017 / 0.6338 ⬆

vs HKD 4.6910 / 4.9426

NZD rose against the dollar yesterday as the US Dollar struggles to resume its upside journey after correcting from a fresh two-week high. Meanwhile, investors await the U.S. NFP the most in a US heavy-data week. NZDUSD rose 0.24% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.83 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3384 / 1.3683 ⬆

vs HKD 5.6956 / 5.8269

CAD rose against the dollar yesterday as the BoC reduced its key borrowing rates by 25 bps for the 3rd straight time, pushing them lower to 4.25%. Meanwhile investors are waiting for US NFP for the rate cut guidance. USDCAD fell 0.32% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.77 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 141.49 / 147.66 ⬆

vs HKD 5.2808 / 5.5053

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday following the release of the Jibun Bank Services PMI data and due to the hawkish mood surrounding BoJ. Meanwhile, Japan announced to spend ¥989 in Reserve funds for energy subsidies. USDJPY fell 1.20% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.42 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8331 / 0.8664 ⬆

vs HKD 8.9952 / 9.3531

CHF rose against the dollar yesterday as the USD depreciated due to lower Treasury yields and as traders ramped up bets for a supersized rate cut from the Fed later this month. Though, slowing Swiss inflation spurs expectations of rate cut. USDCHF fell 0.46% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.20 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2946 / 1.3178 ⬆

vs HKD 5.9139 / 6.0196

SGD rose against the dollar yesterday as weak US labour market data and dovish Fed comments weighed on USD. Market expectations for Fed easing remain steady at 100bps by year-end and 200bps over the next 12 months. USDSGD fell 0.26% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.97 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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