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Daily FX Focus

7 August 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6328 / 0.6725 ⬇

vs HKD 4.9212 / 5.2519

AUD ended higher against the dollar yesterday as the RBA delivered a hawkish interest rate guidance. The RBA left its policy rate unchanged as expected but RBA Governor Philip Lowe confirmed no rush on rate cuts underpinning AUD. AUDUSD rose 0.35% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.07 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0801 / 1.1034 ⬆

vs HKD 8.4394 / 8.5807

EUR ended weaker against the dollar yesterday as the USD recovered ground against major peers after better than expected US ISM Services data. Meanwhile, German manufacturing orders increase in June, its first increase this year. EURUSD fell 0.20% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.51 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2569 / 1.2911 ⬇

vs HKD 9.7901 / 10.0762

GBP fell against the dollar yesterday, hit a new five-week low as markets pivot back into a risk-on stance fueled by ongoing hopes for a September rate cut from the Fed. While the UK construction sector kicks up sharply after election. GBPUSD fell 0.66% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.89 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5840 / 0.6074 ➡

vs HKD 4.5415 / 4.7439

NZD rose against the dollar yesterday amid expectations of a 50 bps interest rate cut by the US Fed in September. Also, better-than-expected New Zealand employment data trimmed bets on RBNZ, pivoting to rate cuts next week. NZDUSD rose 0.22% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.63 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.0612 / 7.2763 ⬆

vs HKD 1.0727 / 1.1015

CNH fell against the dollar yesterday as USD and US T yields edged up and after some investors cashed in ahead of economic data that is likely to affect the currency's outlook. While July's trade data due today with robust exports data expected. USDCNH rose 0.29% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.08 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3653 / 1.3931 ⬇

vs HKD 5.5811 / 5.7189

CAD strengthened against the dollar yesterday despite the USD recovering broadly after data showed Canada recorded a trade surplus of C$638m in June. Higher oil prices provided further boost to the CAD. USDCAD fell 0.27% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.65 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 138.02 / 154.22 ⬆

vs HKD 5.0684 / 5.6094

JPY ended lower against the dollar yesterday as the USD rebounded after declining for five straight sessions against the yen when it fell nearly 6%. Yen had benefitted from safe-haven flows however market sentiment has improved. USDJPY rose 0.09% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.39 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8321 / 0.8814 ⬆

vs HKD 8.8576 / 9.3346

CHF continued to remain strong against the dollar yesterday despite the USD rising against a basket of currencies as market volatility seem to have settled slightly after stronger than expected US ISM data. USDCHF fell 0.12% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.14 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3133 / 1.3416 ⬆

vs HKD 5.8162 / 5.9218

SGD ended flat against the US dollar yesterday despite the USD gaining ground against major peers and US treasury yields rose as fears of US economy going into a recession eased after stronger than expected US ISM data. USDSGD rose 0.00% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.87 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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