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Daily FX Focus

25 July 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6491 / 0.6735 ⬇

vs HKD 5.0678 / 5.2577

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday despite USD weakness as AUD was undermined due to multiple headwinds. China’s weak economic prospects, sliding base metal prices, and weak Judo Bank flash PMI have weighed heavily on the AUD. AUDUSD fell 0.50% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.13 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0777 / 1.0924 ➡

vs HKD 8.4174 / 8.5278

EUR ended lower against the dollar yesterday despite USD eased slightly. Eurozone’s composite PMI’s declined from 50.9 to 50.1, the services index fell from 52.8 to 51.9, while the manufacturing PMI edged down from 45.8 to 45.6. EURUSD fell 0.11% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.46 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2757 / 1.3050 ⬆

vs HKD 9.9614 / 10.1876

GBP rose slightly against the dollar yesterday after the upbeat manufacturing PMI in the UK climbed to 51.8 in July. But BoE officials refrain from endorsing rate cuts due to high inflation in the service sector after July services PMI rose to 52.4. GBPUSD rose 0.01% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.07 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5839 / 0.6094 ⬇

vs HKD 4.5585 / 4.7601

NZD ended lower against the dollar yesterday despite a slight easing in the USD as the China’s dismal economic prospects and increased RBNZ rate-cut bets have weighed on the NZD. NZDUSD fell 0.47% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.62 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2491 / 7.2891 ⬆

vs HKD 1.0709 / 1.0770

CNH rose against the dollar yesterday amid lower US yields and gold rally helped weigh on USD but CNH to stay weak due to easing, poor economy and geopolitics. While major Chinese banks cut deposit rates after reduction in lending rates. USDCNH fell 0.31% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3656 / 1.3888 ⬇

vs HKD 5.6206 / 5.7165

CAD weakened against the dollar yesterday, falling to a 3-month low as Bank of Canada lowered interest rates as expected. Preliminary estimate showed Canadian factory sales fell 2.6% in Jun. CAD losses were limited by a rise in oil prices. USDCAD rose 0.19% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.65 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 150.56 / 159.50 ⬆

vs HKD 4.8970 / 5.1780

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday, rising to its highest in more than two months. The yen also rose to its highest since mid-May against the EUR ahead of next week's BOJ meeting where interest rates and bond purchases will be in focus. USDJPY fell 1.10% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.08 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8778 / 0.8964 ⬆

vs HKD 8.7092 / 8.8908

CHF strengthened against the dollar yesterday as the USD eased slightly as markets digest mixed US S&P PMIs for Jul. Investors await key indicators like PCE, Durable Goods Orders and University of Michigan sentiment index this week. USDCHF fell 0.66% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.82 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3374 / 1.3507 ⬆

vs HKD 5.7795 / 5.8367

SGD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased slightly and yield on shorter-dated US treasuries fell. The MAS is likely to maintain monetary policy tight and it expects core inflation to reach around 2% in 2025. USDSGD fell 0.16% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.81 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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