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Daily FX Focus

23 July 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6582 / 0.6750 ⬇

vs HKD 5.1382 / 5.2701

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday as investors risk appetite weakened due to uncertainty over the US Presidential elections and an unexpected rate-cut by the PBoC. While markets await new data to get fresh clues on the RBA’s stance. AUDUSD fell 0.60% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.18 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0766 / 1.0979 ⬆

vs HKD 8.4096 / 8.5711

EUR rose against the USD yesterday due to political uncertainty after Biden's decision to drop out of Presidential election. EUR was also helped by tighter German-US spreads ahead of release of Eurozone consumer confidence report. EURUSD rose 0.11% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.50 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2721 / 1.3094 ⬆

vs HKD 9.9364 / 10.2195

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday as USD fell as traders await Wednesday's UK flash PMI data for hints at UK growth and its downstream effects on inflation, which may affect BoE policy expectations. GBPUSD rose 0.10% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.09 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5906 / 0.6108 ⬇

vs HKD 4.6097 / 4.7713

NZD fell against the dollar yesterday and turns lower for the 3rd straight day. Bets for an early RBNZ rate cut and China’s economic woes continue to weigh on the NZD. NZDUSD fell 0.52% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.66 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2648 / 7.3188 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0670 / 1.0742

CNH fell against the dollar yesterday weakening to a one-week low as a surprise rate cuts by the PBoC further widened the yield gap with the US, signaling intent to boost growth in the economy. USDCNH rose 0.16% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.06 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3633 / 1.3821 ⬇

vs HKD 5.6451 / 5.7244

CAD fell against the dollar yesterday. Focus moves to Wednesday's BoC policy decision with wide expectations of a 25 bps rate cut after recent easing in inflation and a declining retail sales. Fall in oil prices also weighed on CAD. USDCAD rose 0.14% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.67 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 154.24 / 160.87 ⬆

vs HKD 4.8533 / 5.0570

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday after two straight days of losses as the USD and UST yields fell after Biden's decision to end his re-election campaign. Focus moves to BOJ's next meeting with expectations of monetary tightening. USDJPY fell 0.31% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.97 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8792 / 0.9024 ⬆

vs HKD 8.6517 / 8.8737

CHF ended slightly weaker against the dollar yesterday despite the USD and US treasury yields coming under pressure after President Biden opting out of Presidential election. USDCHF rose 0.06% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.77 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3368 / 1.3561 ⬆

vs HKD 5.7579 / 5.8363

SGD ended slightly weaker against the US dollar yesterday despite the USD and UST yields retreating after Biden's decision to drop out of Presidential election. Meanwhile, the MAS is likely to stay on rate hold in July. USDSGD rose 0.05% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.79 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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Related Insights

DXY broke below support, but we look for stability ahead…[22 Jul]
Markets debate over intervention amid a sudden JPY move. [15 Jul]
The UK’s Labour Party has won a commanding majority in the general election, ending 14…[8 Jul]
Inflation is not falling as fast as the RBA had hoped…[8 Jul]

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