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Daily FX Focus

5 July 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6629 / 0.6779 ⬆

vs HKD 5.1758 / 5.2931

AUD rose against the dollar yesterday amid firm speculation that the policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the RBA would narrow. On the contrary, financial markets expect that the RBA could tighten its policy further. AUDUSD rose 0.34% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.25 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0711 / 1.0863 ⬆

vs HKD 8.3611 / 8.4859

EUR rose against the USD yesterday. With US markets closed, investors' focus moved to elections in France and Britain. Meanwhile, German manufacturing orders unexpectedly dropped in June, the fifth monthly decline in a row. EURUSD rose 0.22% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.44 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2652 / 1.2819 ⬆

vs HKD 9.8798 / 10.0135

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday amid thin trading due to US holiday. Meanwhile, traders await final results from the UK’s Parliamentary Election, and markets eye on US NFP slated for later today. GBPUSD rose 0.13% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.96 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6059 / 0.6162 ➡

vs HKD 4.7305 / 4.8083

NZD rose against the dollar yesterday after negative shifts in US economic indicators, particularly June's disappointing ADP data and uncertain PMI signals. The RBNZ is expected to maintain its key rate at 5.5% in its upcoming meeting. NZDUSD rose 0.25% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.77 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2675 / 7.3138 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0677 / 1.0742

CNH rose against the dollar yesterday due to a series of disappointing U.S. economic figures that increased expectations among investors for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in the coming months. USDCNH fell 0.13% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3557 / 1.3716 ⬆

vs HKD 5.6928 / 5.7580

CAD rose against the US dollar yesterday, rising to a one-month high. However, data showed Canada's services economy deteriorated in Jun. Investors await domestic employment report for clues on BOC's policy stance. USDCAD fell 0.18% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.73 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 158.26 / 163.11 ⬇

vs HKD 4.7854 / 4.9337

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday, however wasn't far from its lowest level since Dec 1986. Japanese authorities have spoken about intervention, however haven't specified any levels, but warned of excessive moves. USDJPY fell 0.27% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.84 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8867 / 0.9093 ➡

vs HKD 8.5871 / 8.8025

CHF ended higher against the dollar yesterday amid thin trading due to US holiday. June Consumer Price Index in Switzerland softened, raising expectations of further rate cuts by the SNB. USDCHF fell 0.14% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.67 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3474 / 1.3578 ⬆

vs HKD 5.7486 / 5.7928

SGD continued to remain strong against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased across the board amid thin trading as US markets were closed for US Independence holiday. USDSGD fell 0.14% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.77 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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