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Daily FX Focus

3 July 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6603 / 0.6708 ⬆

vs HKD 5.1587 / 5.2409

AUD rose against the dollar yesterday following the release of the hawkish RBA minutes and amid USD weakness. May’s Retail Sales from Australia and US ADP figures are also due on Wednesday. AUDUSD rose 0.11% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.20 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0667 / 1.0819 ➡

vs HKD 8.3297 / 8.4535

EUR ended slightly stronger against the USD yesterday as the USD eased. ECB President Christine Lagarde said Eurozone is very advanced on disinflationary path but there remains question marks over outlook for economic growth. EURUSD rose 0.06% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.39 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2594 / 1.2791 ➡

vs HKD 9.8370 / 9.9930

GBP ended higher against the dollar yesterday due to weaker USD on dovish remarks by Fed Chair Powell. GBP was underpinned as markets welcome the expected change in government. GBPUSD rose 0.29% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.91 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6016 / 0.6169 ⬇

vs HKD 4.7006 / 4.8190

NZD rose against the dollar yesterday as USD fell with the lower Treasury yields and on back on dovish Fed remarks. Investors focus shifted to the FOMC meeting minutes due today. NZDUSD rose 0.07% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.74 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2738 / 7.3246 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0665 / 1.0736

CNH ended slightly lower against the dollar yesterday despite USD weakness, weighed by a broad shift in the central bank's daily guidance that analysts say indicates authorities are willing to allow the onshore yuan to ease further. USDCNH rose 0.04% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.06 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3608 / 1.3761 ⬆

vs HKD 5.6767 / 5.7365

CAD strengthened against the US dollar yesterday, boosted by a rally in oil prices and an easing in the USD. Domestic data showed a deterioration in manufacturing activity capping gains. USDCAD fell 0.43% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.71 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 158.09 / 163.27 ⬇

vs HKD 4.7822 / 4.9412

JPY was almost flat, ending marginally stronger against the dollar yesterday as the USD eased after moderately dovish comments from Fed's Powell. Japan's FM said authorities were vigilant against sharp currency moves. USDJPY fell 0.01% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.83 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8891 / 0.9116 ⬇

vs HKD 8.5676 / 8.7807

CHF ended weaker against the dollar yesterday, falling to its lowest level since May 31 and was also weaker against the EUR. Swiss inflation data for Jun is due on Thursday and is expected to remain unchanged. USDCHF rose 0.10% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.64 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3473 / 1.3618 ⬇

vs HKD 5.7339 / 5.7955

SGD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased after dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, outweighing upbeat JOLTS data. US treasury yields also slipped after Powell's speech. USDSGD fell 0.13% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.75 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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