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Daily FX Focus

2 July 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6593 / 0.6714 ⬆

vs HKD 5.1509 / 5.2441

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday as a result of persistently high inflation in Australia and some signs of softening in the US, meeting minutes from both the Federal Reserve and the RBA will be closely watched this week. AUDUSD fell 0.12% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.19 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0651 / 1.0839 ⬇

vs HKD 8.3166 / 8.4674

EUR rose against the dollar yesterday posted a 2-week high as investors assessed the results from the French snap elections on Sunday. While PMI data shows Euro zone factory activity decline deepens in June. EURUSD rose 0.23% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.38 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2551 / 1.2801 ⬇

vs HKD 9.8036 / 10.0002

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday before US markets knocked back investor confidence as US data sparks rate cut hopes, then recession fears. However, Investor confidence jolted by US election risks, volatility ensues. GBPUSD rose 0.04% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.87 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6010 / 0.6179 ⬇

vs HKD 4.6960 / 4.8269

NZD fell against the dollar yesterday, as Market players will keep an eye on Fed Chairman's speech today for fresh impetus, followed by the FOMC minutes on Wed. On the Kiwi front, NZ Business Confidence extends decline in Q2. NZDUSD fell 0.16% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.74 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2662 / 7.3248 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0662 / 1.0748

CNH fell against the dollar yesterday after Purchasing managers index data painted a mixed picture of the economy. Caixin PMI data on Sunday showed China’s manufacturing sector shrank for a second straight month in June. USDCNH rose 0.07% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.06 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3648 / 1.3801 ⬇

vs HKD 5.6605 / 5.7203

CAD fell against the dollar yesterday broadly as safe haven bids broadly bolstered the USD. However, losses were limited as supply fears of crude oil in the second half of the year might lift the commodity-linked CAD. USDCAD rose 0.42% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.68 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 157.53 / 163.55 ⬇

vs HKD 4.7730 / 4.9585

JPY fell against the dollar yesterday, fell to a fresh 37-year low after the Japan au Jibun Bank manufacturing PMI in June was revised lower. Losses in the yen accelerated Monday after T-note yields rose sharply. USDJPY rose 0.39% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.83 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8887 / 0.9107 ⬇

vs HKD 8.5760 / 8.7854

CHF fell against the dollar yesterday amid USD strength and driven by market anticipation of the FOMC minutes release. While he Swiss June CPI due on Thursday, is projected to remain stable at 1.4% YoY for the 3rd consecutive month. USDCHF rose 0.46% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.65 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3474 / 1.3636 ⬇

vs HKD 5.7249 / 5.7947

SGD fell against the dollar yesterday, fell for a third day amid USD strength after T-note yields rose sharply. While investors await key economic data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech for further cues. USDSGD rose 0.15% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.75 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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