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Daily FX Focus

25 June 2024

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6585 / 0.6715 ⬆

vs HKD 5.1431 / 5.2426

AUD ended higher against the dollar yesterday as USD fell broadly due to the decline in the yields on US Treasury bonds. AUD receives support from the RBA’s hawkish stance on interest rate trajectory. AUDUSD rose 0.26% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.19 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0632 / 1.0867 ⬇

vs HKD 8.2972 / 8.4873

EUR rose against the USD yesterday, shaking off soft German IFO data impact as French elections remain the dominant driver. National Rally party leader Jordan Bardella said the aim is to bring French budgetary policy “back to reason”. EURUSD rose 0.38% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.37 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2579 / 1.2819 ➡

vs HKD 9.8208 / 10.0156

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday as the USD fell broadly as sentiment tilts higher ahead of the key US data. GBP was underpinned even though markets expect that the BOE will start reducing interest rates from the August meeting. GBPUSD rose 0.27% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 9.90 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6072 / 0.6199 ➡

vs HKD 4.7404 / 4.8409

NZD ended higher against the dollar yesterday amid weaker USD as investors await PCE data this week. Also, the data showed that New Zealand posts monthly trade surplus in May. NZDUSD rose 0.11% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.78 level.

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2518 / 7.3039 ⬇

vs HKD 1.0682 / 1.0769

CNH ended higher against the dollar yesterday as USD fell broadly amid softer US yields and dovish Fed remarks. Meanwhile EU and China set for talks on planned electric vehicle tariffs. USDCNH fell 0.10% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3604 / 1.3748 ⬆

vs HKD 5.6787 / 5.7366

CAD strengthened against the US dollar yesterday, rising to a 3-week high supported by higher oil prices which rose on demand optimism. BOC Governor Macklem said economy can add jobs and growth even as inflation slows. USDCAD fell 0.29% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.71 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 156.27 / 161.41 ⬇

vs HKD 4.8313 / 4.9994

JPY strengthened against the USD yesterday, rebounding from an eight-week low. Summary of BOJ's June meeting showed policymakers called for raising interest rates in a timely fashion considering inflation risk. USDJPY fell 0.13% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.89 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.8836 / 0.9005 ⬆

vs HKD 8.6685 / 8.8301

CHF strengthened against the dollar yesterday as the USD eased against a basket of currencies while US treasury yields retreated. Investors moved their focus on release of US PCE Index for further direction. USDCHF fell 0.11% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.74 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3452 / 1.3580 ➡

vs HKD 5.7455 / 5.8035

SGD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased across the board and US treasury yields retreated. Investors await US economic and inflation data later this week for clues on Fed's rate cut stance. USDSGD fell 0.15% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.76 level.

*Current Trend observations pertain to historical trend technical analysis only and do not reflect any forward looking fundamental views. The signal is generated with both the 20-days moving average and the 50-days moving average.

⬆ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the USD

➡ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against the USD has remained sideways

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the USD

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